Fin du pétrole
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Dmirty Orlov - Résilience
Yesterday, we took a look at what 7%ish growth in China's oil demand would do if continued to 2025 - adding about another 15 million barrels/day (mb/d) to global oil demand. Today, let's complete the exercise by looking at the other areas of the world where oil demand is growing rapidly, as well as the trends in supply (all data from BP ). We will see that things don't add up
Oil Supply and Demand to 2025
Washington envisage un déclin de la production de pétrole mondiale à partir de 2011
Le département de l'énergie américain reconnaît qu' "il existe une chance pour que nous fassions l'expérience d'un déclin" de la production mondiale de carburants liquides entre 2011 et 2015 "si les investissements font défaut" , selon un entretien exclusif avec Glen Sweetnam, principal expert officiel du marché pétrolier au sein de l'administration Obama. Cette alerte sur les capacités mondiales de production pétrolière lancée depuis Washington intervient au moment où la demande mondiale de pétrole repart à la hausse, et tandis que de nombreux projets d'extraction ont été gelés à cause de la chute des cours du brut et de la crise financière. Glen Sweetnam, qui dirige la division internationale, économique et des gaz à effet de serre au sein de l'administration de l'information sur l'énergie du département de l'énergie américain (DoE), ne dit pas que les investissements nécessaires feront "défaut" .
Et nos enfants nous appelleront "barbares"
Si les dangers du nucléaire sont largement débattus sur la place publique depuis Fukushima, ils occultent aujourd'hui l'énorme problème moral posé par le don fait à nos enfants d'un monde où la température pourrait augmenter de six degrés et rendre la vie humaine très difficile. Un problème qui présente des similarités troublantes avec celui posé par l'esclavage des siècles passés. En 2005, enseignant à l'Université de Lille, j'avais été surpris des difficultés de mes étudiants à imaginer que des êtres humains, généralement intelligents et sensibles, aient pu un jour réduire d'autres hommes et femmes en esclavage.
BOOK REVIEW: 'Clean Energy Nation': The Facts on the End of Petro-Civilization As We Know It -- Along With Alternative Energy Solutions
(The wimpy storm made landfall at Baffin Bay, about 40 miles south of Corpus Christi, TX, late Friday night and then fizzled: Link: http://www.gonzalescannon.com/node/5969 ). Maybe Don was angry at the storm-namers who didn't name him "Donaldo," or "The Donald," because his arrival left only a trace of rain, just enough to remove the dust on my PT Cruiser.
When subsidies are not on the level
Half a trillion dollars is the yearly bill governments are paying to support fossil fuels through subsidies and tax breaks, according to a study by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). That is a challenge for the UN's youngest agency, which promotes the adoption of renewables from its headquarters in Abu Dhabi and a research centre inaugurated this week in Bonn, Germany.
There Will Be Oil, But At What Price? - Chris Nelder and Gregor Macdonald
by Chris Nelder and Gregor Macdonald | 11:26 AM October 4, 2011
Heading down to Washington to speak at the Association for Peak Oil-USA‘s Truth in Energy conference on Nov. 2, I sense a general malaise within the peak oil movement. The pequists, as they have become known, appear to be on the defensive these days as they once again roll back their dating of the dreaded supply peak, confounded by the oil industry’s never ending ability to develop new extraction technologies and discover new sources of supply. While conventional production may have peaked long ago in the lower 48 U.S. states as predicted by the father of the peak oil movement, geophysicist M.
Peak oil is about price, not supply
The current failure of most western economies to achieve anything more than minimal growth this year (2011) is most likely because oil prices are already at levels that severely inhibit growth. Indeed, research by energy consultants Douglas-Westwood concludes that oil price spikes of the magnitude seen this year correlate one-for-one with recessions. Looking at conventional cost curves shows incremental development costs range from $45/b (Saudi) to $90/b (Canadian Tar sands and Venezuelan Orinoco heavy oil) with most of the incremental deepwater sources in the $70-80/b range.
Différence entre pic géologique et économique (Anglais)
Thus the geologists are right that the depletion of low cost oil will produce Peak Oil but it will not be caused by a shortage of oil resources.
The economists are right that there is no shortage of oil resources or oil substitutes but have so far failed to recognise that there is an oil price which cannot be afforded and this constraint will create and define an economic Peak Oil to be differentiated from a geological Peak Oil. by Sep 26
Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas
Un article de Wikipédia, l'encyclopédie libre. L' ASPO ( Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas ) est l'association pour l'étude du pic pétrolier et gazier. C'est un réseau presque informel d'ingénieurs, de géologues , de scientifiques de disciplines diverses et d' économistes , qui cherche à déterminer le moment où le pic pétrolier va survenir, et ses conséquences sur l'économie. Composition [ modifier ] Elle comprend actuellement 24 membres de 14 pays d' Europe , dont :
Dr James Schlesinger - oil end
ASPO - oil
Jean Laherrère - oil end
What A Way To Go: Life at the end of Empire
Tim Bennett, middle-class white guy, started waking up to the global environmental nightmare in the mid-1980s.Technological Trajectories and the Human Environment
Below are the first 10 and last 10 pages of uncorrected machine-read text (when available) of this chapter, followed by the top 30 algorithmically extracted key phrases from the chapter as a whole. Intended to provide our own search engines and external engines with highly rich, chapter-representative searchable text on the opening pages of each chapter. Because it is UNCORRECTED material, please consider the following text as a useful but insufficient proxy for the authoritative book pages. Do not use for reproduction, copying, pasting, or reading; exclusively for search engines. OCR for page 74 Technological Trajectories and the Human Environment. 1997. Pp. 74-88.Viewpoint: Richard A. Sears
Moderator: Hi Everyone. We will be getting started in just a few minutes. Richard Sears : I am looking forward to answering your questions. Moderator: Good Afternoon everyone.The Fuel Film - Biodiesel
Blind Spot
Blind Spot is a documentary film that illustrates the current oil and energy crisis that our world is facing. Whatever measures of ignorance, greed, wishful thinking, we have put ourselves at a crossroads, which offer two paths with dire consequences. If we continue to burn fossil fuels we will choke the life out of the planet and if we don’t our way of life will collapse. According to one review, it makes An Inconvenient Truth look like a sitcom. There’s a lot of environmental films out there that while not painting a rosy picture still want us to feel a sense of hey things will still be ok , not so with Blind Spot .J’ai beaucoup lu sur la théorie du pic pétrolier, sur la fin du pétrole, sur les spéculations entourant la fin prochaine de cette précieuse ressource à la base de notre civilisation moderne. Le livre que je tiens entre les mains, loin de l’alarmisme gratuit, nous dit simplement que nous sommes déjà entrés dans l’après-pétrole. Ce livre est signé par Jeff Rubin , un économiste canadien de réputation internationale qui a été notamment entre 1992 et 2009, économiste en chef à Marchés mondiaux CIBC.
Jeff Rubin : Demain, un tout petit monde - comment le pétrole entraînera la fin de la mondialisation.
Oliver Rech - Peak oil
Richard Heinberg - oil end
Robert Hirsch - oil end
Nate Hagens - oil end
Historical oil shocks - 2011.pdf
Corrélations entre les crises économiques et le coût du pétrole. by Aug 3
Fin du pétrole
Ouep mais merci tt de même. :) by alwen Mar 2
Bel arbre ça, je te le pique, merci ! by alwen Mar 1