Anomalnie Novosti. 5port.ru - Lybrary. Klex.ru — архив книг. Eurasia Academic Publishers - Backlist of Published Books & Series. Science Fiction. KOOB.RU. Nasim_Nicholas_Taleb. THE FOURTH QUADRANT. Statistical and applied probabilistic knowledge is the core of knowledge; statistics is what tells you if something is true, false, or merely anecdotal; it is the "logic of science"; it is the instrument of risk-taking; it is the applied tools of epistemology; you can't be a modern intellectual and not think probabilistically—but... let's not be suckers.
The problem is much more complicated than it seems to the casual, mechanistic user who picked it up in graduate school. Statistics can fool you. In fact it is fooling your government right now. It can even bankrupt the system (let's face it: use of probabilistic methods for the estimation of risks did just blow up the banking system). The current subprime crisis has been doing wonders for the reception of any ideas about probability-driven claims in science, particularly in social science, economics, and "econometrics" (quantitative economics). Are we using models of uncertainty to produce certainties? The Dangers Of Bogus Math The Map. Developer.force.com. Авторизация пользователя. Оптические иллюзииIluzii. Igri_on-line. Knigi_Kulichki.