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Managing Risks

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Dealing with uncertainty 4p. Théories de la décision Voodoo «Viva la Voodoo! Apparently some readers seem to have difficulties in finding my definition of the key term Voodoo Decision Theory on this site. Take note then that this term is discussed/explained on the Voodoo Science page. For your convenience, here is a copy of this page: The terms “voodoo economics”, “voodoo mathematics”, “voodoo statistics”, “voodoo ecology” and so on, seem to have been coined with the same object in mind. To put across the idea captured in point 4 of the definition given in the old ENCARTA dictionary (color added): Voodoo nA religion practiced throughout Caribbean countries, especially Haiti, that is a combination of Roman Catholic rituals and animistic beliefs of Dahomean enslaved laborers, involving magic communication with ancestors.Somebody who practices voodoo.A charm, spell, or fetish regarded by those who practice voodoo as having magical powers.A belief, theory, or method that lacks sufficient evidence or proof.

Example Got the drift? Viva la Voodoo! Moshe. Robert L. Park. Robert Lee (Bob) Park (born January 16, 1931) is an emeritus professor of physics at the University of Maryland, College Park and a former director of public information at the Washington office of the American Physical Society.[1] Park is most noted for his critical commentaries on alternative medicine and pseudoscience, as well as his criticism of how legitimate science is distorted or ignored by the media, some scientists, and public policy advocates as expressed in his book Voodoo Science.[2] He is also noted for his preference for robotic over manned space exploration.[3] Early life[edit] Park was born in 1931 in Kansas City, Missouri.

His father was a lawyer and a farmer in southern Texas,[4] and Park had originally intended to attend law school himself.[5] He entered the Air Force in 1951 and served (among other places) at Walker Air Force Base in Roswell, New Mexico until 1956.[6] When the Air Force sent him to radar school, he discovered a passion for physics.[4] Books[edit] Nassim Nicholas Taleb - Wikipedia, l'encyclopédie libre. He criticized the risk management methods used by the finance industry and warned about financial crises, subsequently profiting from the late-2000s financial crisis.[18] [19] He advocates what he calls a "black swan robust" society, meaning a society that can withstand difficult-to-predict events.[10] He proposes "antifragility" in systems, that is, an ability to benefit and grow from a certain class of random events, errors, and volatility[20][21] as well as "convex tinkering" as a method of scientific discovery, by which he means that option-like experimentation outperforms directed research.[22] Family background and education[edit] Taleb in his student days Taleb was born in Amioun, Lebanon to Minerva Ghosn and Najib Taleb, a physician and an oncologist and a researcher in anthropology.

Both sides of his family were politically prominent in the Lebanese Greek Orthodox community. Finance career[edit] Academic career[edit] Writing career[edit] He warned of pseudostability in Syria:[52] Explorez ou Ignorer? «Viva la Voodoo! The objective of this post is to set out a detailed explanation of the fact that radius of stability models of robustness are, by definition, models of local robustness and are therefore unsuitable for the management of a severe uncertainty that is characterized by a vast uncertainty space. Some readers may wonder whether going to such great lengths to elaborate a fact that seems so patently obvious is in fact necessary. After all, the situation is crystal clear. The fact that radius of stability models are models of local robustness means that they are not designed to seek a global robustness. From this it follows that they are unsuitable to take on a severe uncertainty that is manifested in a vast uncertainty space because such an uncertainty requires to be handled by means of a global robustness analysis.

This observation is of course perfectly legitimate. The discussion that follows makes this contention abundantly clear. , call it Example 1: global approaches . The picture is this: . . Théorie de la décision Info-Gap. Too Good To Be True. Robuste la prise de décision. Robust decision making (48p PPT Math) Robust Decision Making: Coping with Uncertainty. Robust decision making: coping with uncertainty. Robust Decision Making: Coping with Uncertainty | Futurist, The | Find Articles at BNET. In Search of..... - TV.com www.tv.com/shows/in-search-of Narrarated by Leonard Nimoy, In search of was a 30 minute syndicated show that covered a wide range of paranormal topics.

It pioneered a lot of the methodology that ... Search Engine - Download.com download.cnet.com/s/search-engine search engine free download - GSA Search Engine Ranker, Nomao - The personalized search engine, Zoom Search Engine, and many more programs Google Search - Download.com download.cnet.com/s/google-search google search free download - Google Search, Google Toolbar for Internet Explorer, Google Search, and many more programs Star Search - Episode Guide - TV.com www.tv.com/shows/star-search-2003/episodes Star Search episode guides on TV.com.