background preloader

Scenario Planning

Facebook Twitter

Enterprise Strategies for Capitalizing on 2012 Digital Disruption Trends | Elastic Path Software. Matt: Hello, my name is Matt Dion and I'm the VP of marketing here at Elastic Path. Today we have a very exciting webinar called monetizing content in a world of digital disruption. We all know that the world of content is undergoing massive change; everything is rapidly moving from physical to digital, the pieces of glass are the variety of experiences that are available to customers is also exporting.

For content producers, companies who are in software gaming, media publishing, tele-communication providers and others, this changes everything. This changes everything and it is all changing everything very quickly. The key to all of these is rapid innovation, experimentation with different business models. Just before I turn it over to Linda, I want to talk very quickly about Elastic Path. I have been covering Ecommerce for a long time and for the last few years we have really seen online retail flatten out about two to three percent growth per year. Scenario planning. Scenario planning, also called scenario thinking or scenario analysis, is a strategic planning method that some organizations use to make flexible long-term plans.

It is in large part an adaptation and generalization of classic methods used by military intelligence. The original method was that a group of analysts would generate simulation games for policy makers. The games combine known facts about the future, such as demographics, geography, military, political, industrial information, and mineral reserves, with key driving forces identified by considering social, technical, economic, environmental, and political (STEEP) trends. In business applications, the emphasis on gaming the behavior of opponents was reduced (shifting more toward a game against nature). At Royal Dutch/Shell for example, scenario planning was viewed as changing mindsets about the exogenous part of the world, prior to formulating specific strategies. Crafting scenarios[edit] Zero-sum game scenarios[edit] Doing Scenarios - scenarios can help predict the future | Whole Earth. In Search of..... - TV.com www.tv.com/shows/in-search-of Narrarated by Leonard Nimoy, In search of was a 30 minute syndicated show that covered a wide range of paranormal topics.

It pioneered a lot of the methodology that ... Search Engine - Download.com download.cnet.com/s/search-engine search engine free download - GSA Search Engine Ranker, Nomao - The personalized search engine, Zoom Search Engine, and many more programs Google Search - Download.com download.cnet.com/s/google-search google search free download - Google Search, Google Toolbar for Internet Explorer, Google Search, and many more programs Star Search - Episode Guide - TV.com www.tv.com/shows/star-search-2003/episodes Star Search episode guides on TV.com.

How to Build Scenarios. It happens to us all. We look out into the future, trying our best to make wise decisions, only to find ourselves staring into the teeth of ferocious and widespread uncertainties. If only everything didn't depend on, well, everything else. How do we decide what kind of career path to pursue when it's not clear what industries will exist in 10 or 15 years? How do we plan our children's education when we can't know what sort of society they'll live in? As we face each of these problems, we confront a deeper dilemma: how do we strike a balance between prediction - believing that we can see past these uncertainties when in fact we can't - and paralysis - letting the uncertainties freeze us into inactivity. The senior managers of large corporations face a similar dilemma, but they often carry the additional weight that on their decisions rest the livelihoods of thousands.

At first, all uncertainties seem unique. Given that we don't know which scenario will unfold, what do we do to prepare? Scenario planning resources. Welcome to the reference page on scenario planning and scenario thinking! At this web page you will find references and texts about scenario planning. Some are good for orientation while others are much deeper and part in the effort on developing the method and exploring new areas of application.

I have tried to make it more convenient for you by organizing them in a way that hopefully will make it easy to find the information you are seeking. I have also filtered out a lot of references I feel are duplicates or in some other way doesn't provide any additional information on the subject. If you feel your links are missing or would like to propose some additions or changes, please feel free to contact me! What is Scenario Planning? (top) Scenario planning is a method for learning about the future by understanding the nature and impact of the most uncertain and important driving forces affecting our world. Introductory texts (top) Scenarios How to build scenarios Blogs (top) Mapping Strategy.